Well, it appears that I will be chasing on Monday. Right now, my initial target area is Canadian, TX. I'm really not looking for much in the way of severe weather, but some marginally severe hail along with a possible weak, short lived tornado is possible near the surface low. Really, I'm just going out to get back in the groove and check out the equipment for the meat and potatoes part of the severe wx season.
The low that is progged to initiate the thunderstorms will pretty much be right over the Panhandle on Monday afternoon. 500mb temps will be very cold which will help contribute to steep lapse rates. CAPE on the other hand will be very marginal at best. CAPE values may approach 800 j/kg, but cool surface temps in the upper 50's and cloud cover may keep it from reaching above 500j/kg. Td will be in the upper 40's and low 50's in the region which really isn't that bad for this time of year.
Maybe I can at least get into some severe hail and gusty winds, but right now I'd settle for a few Cg's and towering Cu.
INITIAL TARGET AREA: CANADIAN, TX
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2 comments:
Good luck! If it were *that* local for me, I'd be out. ;)
congrats on the video, i turned around and caught it too!!!!!!!!!!!!
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